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On Politics With Lisa Lerer: Doing What She Can

Welcome to On Politics, your guide to the day in national politics. So far, she’s sent 650 pre-addressed, pre-stamped cards out across the country from her small apartment in an Iowa Falls, Iowa, assisted-living facility. The finding is particularly striking given that midterms have traditionally only attracted a minority of voters. But Ms. Brown says her bigger goal is to convince people that their vote matters. “What I am saying to the people on the postcards is, ‘Your vote will make a difference,’” she said. Will all that work matter on Election Day? Here’s what he told us: When Lesley Stahl sat down with President Trump on “60 Minutes,” they were in the same room. The Boston Globe reported Ms. Warren is “between 1/64th and 1/1,024th Native American.” Democrat Elizabeth Warren found someone to say she – might be – 1/1,024 Native American. — Ronna McDaniel (@GOPChairwoman) October 15, 2018 When asked by reporters this morning, Mr. Trump denied that he previously vowed to contribute $1 million to Ms. Warren’s favorite charity if she took a DNA test and it showed she had Native American roots. Here’s something you won’t “forget,” Mr. President: You’re the least popular president in modern history & your allies will go down hard in the midterm elections.

Voter data gathering reshapes Mich. politics, sparks privacy fears

Lansing — It was four days out from the 2016 presidential election when then-Michigan GOP Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel got the call: The Republican National Committee’s advanced voter score software was, for the first time, predicting Donald Trump would narrowly win the state. “We clearly spent too much time and money here,” he added sarcastically, “because we ended up winning by 10,500 votes rather than the 7,700 we predicted.” Increasingly complex systems allow Michigan's political parties to compile robust information about individual voters that they then use in direct appeals for a cause or candidate. “Allowing political parties and special interest groups to have a very detailed dossier on a person’s behavior raises fundamental questions about privacy in a democracy,” said Jeffrey Chester, executive director of the Center for Digital Democracy, calling it a bipartisan issue. “But just as important, it’s to put in place these local infrastructures so that the local parties can do a lot of this stuff themselves.” The RNC has spent two years building on its voter score system, which combines consumer data with voter history information to create probability rankings that inform spending, messaging and other strategy decisions. “That’s kind of the mantra of the RNC this cycle.” (Photo: Rod Sanford, Special to The Detroit News ) Targeting voters Technology has reshaped the way political parties and campaigns operate, both on the ground and online. “Because in 2016 a lot of people were blindsided by what happened because traditional polling methods, and other methods we had trusted for years, did not comport with the reality of the ground.” Two years ago, the RNC used its voter score data to fine-tune appeals to voters who were part of what officials called the “HRC change universe” and held conflicting opinions about Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton. While groups are using consumer data to add shopping habits and magazine subscriptions to voter profiles, publicly available voting information “is still the most useful thing for trying to influence elections,” Grossman said. Voter privacy was tested like never before in the 2016 election cycle, when Cambridge Analytica, a firm hired by Trump’s campaign, reportedly accessed private data on more than 50 million Facebook users. Betting big on tech The RNC has invested roughly $200 million in data and technology since 2012, the second cycle in a row that President Barack Obama’s campaign had “very honestly kicked our (expletive),” Ostrow said. “But rather than go out and build it just around a candidate … we build it around a party-centric model so that any candidate with an R can use it.” The voter score system uses publicly available voter information with other data, including between 2,000 and 10,000 consumer data points for each voter, said regional data director Tyler Church.
Could Major Donations Help Bring On A Blue Wave In November? | Velshi & Ruhle | MSNBC

Could Major Donations Help Bring On A Blue Wave In November? | Velshi &...

One of the people who helped Florida Democratic gubernatorial nominee Andrew Gillum win is billionaire former hedge fund manager Tom Steyer. He talks to Stephanie Ruhle and Ali Velshi about his $100 million dollar plan to bring on a blue…
Tom Steyer Pours $110 Million Into Plan To Redefine The Democrats | Hallie Jackson | MSNBC

Tom Steyer Pours $110 Million Into Plan To Redefine The Democrats | Hallie Jackson...

Democratic billionaire donor and philanthropist, Tom Steyer, goes in-depth on his plan to 'redefine' the Democrats, saying it's up to the American people and voters to decide on flipping Congress blue, whether Al Franken should run for office again, and…

California billionaire Steyer’s candidate guide pushes impeachment as good politics for midterms

Billionaire liberal activist Tom Steyer’s “Need to Impeach” campaign sent out guides to more than 5,100 Democratic candidates across the country just two weeks before the first of a dozen Democratic primary debates his group, NextGen America, is bankrolling. “Tom’s impeachment campaign is run out of Need to Impeach, which is a separate entity,” NextGen America spokeswoman Aleigha Cavalier told Fox News. “The topics of the debate will be on issues that matter to young people — which can definitely include impeachment — but that’s not the focus.” Special Counsel Robert Mueller hasn’t presented findings yet on a long-running investigation into possible Russian meddling in the 2016 presidential election. Nonetheless, the nine-page Steyer guide contends impeachment is good politics and says “making this case can boost turnout among the Democratic base.” “Nothing is preventing Democrats from promoting an agenda focused on building a fairer economy, improving the health care system and creating a more equal and just society — while also underscoring the need to impeach this president,” says the guide, which refers to Trump as “one of the gravest dangers our country has ever confronted.” The first of Steyer's “Keeping Up With the Candidates” debates will revolve around Pennsylvania's newly drawn 7th Congressional District; Democratic candidates are set to face off Thursday in Fegley’s Brew Works in Allentown to benefit the Bradbury-Sullivan LGBT Community Center. (Each NextGen-bankrolled debate will be in a venue that attracts younger voters and will raise money for local progressive causes, according to the organization.) Pastor Greg Edwards, Northampton County District Attorney John Morganelli and Allentown Solicitor Susan Wild are among the candidates vying for the Democratic nomination. “Panicked Democrats know the vast majority of Americans disagree with Steyer, but it’s not stopping the billionaire from demanding that 5,171 candidates pledge their loyalty to his baseless effort,” Republican National Committee spokesman Michael Ahrens said in a statement. “Democrats also face the looming specter of Steyer-sponsored debates that will undoubtedly press candidates on impeachment.” Steyer’s group also plans to sponsor debates in Pennsylvania’s redrawn 5th Congressional District, where the GOP’s Rep. Pat Meehan is retiring; in Virginia’s 10th Congressional District, where Rep. Barbara Comstock is considered vulnerable and where part of Washington's suburbs are represented; and in California’s 39th District, where Republican Rep. Ed Royce is retiring. “As millions of young people enter the political debate, they deserve a chance to be represented by elected officials who will address their concerns, discuss their ideas, and take action on the issues that affect their lives,” Steyer said in a statement. But the Republicans could do the same thing for their base if this is a referendum on impeachment.” - Kyle Kopko, political science professor Kopko added that said there is a calculated risk for Democrats with invoking the specter of impeachment in 2018.

In A Methane Hot Spot, Environmental Politics Roil A County Commission

It was the day before the Senate was set to vote on a measure to repeal a 2016 Obama administration Interior Department rule limiting methane emissions from gas wells on federal land. The Trump administration is working to replace the Interior Department rule with a weaker alternative, while a lawsuit from the oil industry and some Western states threatens to block implementation of the old rule. Even though Lachelt is not barred from environmental work while holding office, three county residents are seeking to recall her, saying her trip is evidence that she’s “repeatedly leveraged our public office for her private gain.” NASA/JPL-Caltech/University of Michigan Lachelt had a long history in the environmental movement before taking office. Dave Peters, one of the residents leading the recall effort, pointed to that environmental work as proof that Lachelt is out of step with her constituents. Well before NASA put the Four Corners’ problem on the map, Lachelt had been raising the alarm about what gas drilling was doing to the Durango area. The agency estimated the rule would cut 175,000 to 180,000 tons of methane per year. The Obama EPA also issued a new regulation in 2016 requiring well operators to monitor and repair leaks for both new and modified natural gas wells and had started to lay the groundwork to regulate existing infrastructure. Peters, one of the three people now leading the recall effort, first filed an ethics complaint against Lachelt last summer after the trip to Washington where she lobbied McCain, arguing that she needed to disclose who was funding the environmental group she also works for. Peters said his “concerns on Lachelt’s bias” have increased amid the fiscal trouble, saying it’s “clear to me that Lachelt’s efforts against the oil and gas industry was compounding the county’s revenue problems.” Peters hadn’t found enough support for a recall until a December meeting on proposed revisions to the county’s land use code, which all three county commissioners backed. Environmentalists say Colorado’s methane rules are proof that regulations don’t have to choke industry.
Billionaire explains $20M campaign to impeach Trump

Billionaire explains $20M campaign to impeach Trump

Billionaire Democratic mega-donor Tom Steyer talks to CNN's Dana Bash about why he is funding a $20 million ad campaign to impeach President Donald Trump.
Tom Steyer On His Campaign To Impeach President Donald Trump | All In | MSNBC

Tom Steyer On His Campaign To Impeach President Donald Trump | All In |...

California businessman Tom Steyer is putting some of his billions into an ad campaign calling for Donald Trump to be impeached, along with petition for impeachment that now has over 1.5 million signatures. » Subscribe to MSNBC: http://on.msnbc.com/SubscribeTomsnbc About: MSNBC…