Friday, April 19, 2024
Home Tags Valery Asapov

Tag: Valery Asapov

Journalistic predictions of Middle Eastern politics are – mostly – an exercise in futility

Take the city of Afrin. The Turks invaded the Syrian and largely Kurdish province just under two months ago. Their “Free Syrian Army” allies appeared to be nonexistent. Attlee won the 1945 election. Did the Kurds help Isis – they were talking to each other a few weeks earlier – strike a blow at Russia’s military operations in Syria? More important, however, was an incident in which the Kurds deliberately destroyed a military bridge constructed by the Russians over the Euphrates River for pro-Syrian militias. So much for my prediction to my Syrian friend. Or, more to the point, Egyptian elections. Will President Trump call Mr Sisi after his election victory to congratulate him? Funny, though, how Trump is becoming as predictable as an Arab election.