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Governor Sununu Proves Republicans Can Defy Trump

The Story: Governor Chris Sununu (R-NH) has shown no interest in fealty to former President Donald Trump. As it has for many other Republicans, this...
Pence on impact of anonymous NYT op-ed, Woodward's new book

Trump/Pence Fracture Still Wide

The Story: Former Vice President Mike Pence might run for President in 2024. His willingness to fuel speculation that he will do so is itself...
Poll: Biden, Warren, Sanders leading among Dems in New Hampshire

Poll: Biden, Warren, Sanders leading among Dems in New Hampshire

Former Vice President Joe Biden, Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders sit atop the field of Democratic presidential contenders among likely primary voters in New Hampshire, according to a new CNN poll conducted by the University of…

How The New Movements, Not The Old Media, Are Driving Politics

For a manic stretch of 2012, we all believed seriatim that Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Herman Cain were the likeliest Republican nominee. And if you were honest about it, you’d admit that the media itself drove much of this process. We got interested in a candidate and inflated their prominence; then challenged them more aggressively and dug hard into their record; then moved on to the next one. Those were the 10 presidential campaigns, give or take, dominated by what that era called the mainstream media. And one of the reasons the political press got Trump so wrong is that his campaign didn’t work like that. When we saw his early polls, we thought he was the flavor of the month. His support didn’t rise and fall. But it seems to be a defining feature of the new movement politics. This is a snowball, not a narrative. Well, it could mean that the theory motivating most of the 20-plus candidates — that they should make their cases and wait for their turns in the sun of public attention — is just wrong.

At Democratic Campaign Events, Mueller Report Is Barely Mentioned

But it was pretty close. At events across early primary states, voters asked about health care and school shootings and immigration. [Sign up for our politics newsletter and join our conversation about the 2020 presidential race.] “We don’t know what’s in it,” said Alane Sullivan, 63, a retired businesswoman, after attending a town hall meeting with Senator Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota in Rye, N.H. “One thing about people in New Hampshire: They are looking for answers, and they knew she wouldn’t know yet.” The lack of questions at campaign events about the report surprised some of the candidates, who had come prepared with lines about the latest development in the nearly two-year investigation. In South Carolina, the one question Beto O’Rourke, the former Texas congressman, fielded about the Mueller report came from State Senator Marlon Kimpson, a local Democrat and a host of a town hall with Mr. O’Rourke in Charleston. He asked whether Congress should consider impeaching the president “assuming there’s facts and evidence” that President Trump knew about collusion or coordination with Russians who meddled in the 2016 election. 1 focus right now is to get it public,” Ms. Klobuchar, who said she was worried that Mr. Barr would resist releasing details, told reporters after her town hall meeting. He wanted to know as much as possible about the Mueller report’s contents, he said. Yet.” Patricia Shearin, 54, a farmer and a Democrat, said she saw no reason candidates should comment on the report at this stage, and she urged them to refrain from calling for impeachment. I think the report should be made public and hopefully those that are in place to make decisions will be ethical.” Campaigning in South Carolina on Saturday, Pete Buttigieg, the 37-year-old mayor of South Bend, Ind., said Democrats should focus on why Mr. Trump was elected in the first place rather than pin their hopes on impeachment as the way to end his presidency.

Beto O’Rourke slams Israeli leader Netanyahu as ally of ‘racists’

We have a prime minister in Israel who has openly sided with racists,” he charged. O’Rourke also jabbed at Palestinian leader Mahmoud Abbas. “On the Palestinian side, we have an ineffectual leader. The candidate was asked during a question and answer session with the crowd about accepting large sums of contributions from pro-Israeli lobbyists during his 2018 Senate election in Texas. O’Rourke once again called for a “two-state solution” between Israel and the Palestinians to achieve peace in the Middle East. During Wednesday's New Hampshire stops, meanwhile, O’Rourke targeted sales of assault weapons, skirted his stance on late-term abortions, called for pre-K starting for four-year-olds, and acknowledged that he has a learning curve as he runs for president. I don’t want to take anyone’s guns from anyone in the country.” But he said the AR-15, “which is a variant of something that was designed for battlefield use, I see no reason for it to be sold into our communities.” Speaking with reporters, O’Rourke was asked by Fox News how he would have voted on a controversial GOP-sponsored Senate bill that would have required doctors to provide medical care to newborns, including those born during failed abortions. The candidate gave a hint of his support for abortion rights by adding that “I’ve seen the effects of regressive women’s health care policies in Texas, the inability to get much needed medical care… I want to make sure at a national level we don’t make those mistakes.” As a three-term congressman representing El Paso in the House, O’Rourke supported a bill in 2017 that would have lifted most state restrictions on abortion, including waiting periods. Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont, who raised $5.9 million in the day after he announced his candidacy last month, had contributions from 223,000 people, with the average donation standing at $27. Discussing the comments – which critics said spotlighted unwelcome gender stereotypes – O’Rourke promised “not only will I not say that again, but I’ll be more thoughtful going forward in the way that I talk about our marriage.” On Wednesday, O’Rourke told the crowd that “Amy and I are raising those kiddos.” Asked if there’s a learning curve on the presidential campaign trail, he quickly answered: “Yeah.

It’s a date: Gov. Larry Hogan to attend ‘Politics and Eggs’

According to the governor's office, Hogan has accepted an invitation to "Politics and Eggs," a breakfast series April 23 at St. Anselm College in Manchester, New Hampshire. "Marylanders should care because it's the first step in a very long line of steps to raising your national profile, and that's exactly what Gov. Hogan hopes to do with this trip to New Hampshire," Goucher College poll director Mileah Kromer said. "Politics and Eggs" is a big deal in the world of presidential election politics. New Hampshire's primary is first in the nation, and 2020 is just around the corner. The series is a must-stop for any politico even thinking about testing the waters. Is that the case for Hogan? "I think they reached out because they liked some of the things I was focusing on, but I understand the speculation," Hogan said Feb. 22. "This is an invitation-only event. "I think there is a group of Republicans that would very much like to see a different direction for the Republican Party, and they want to see what Larry Hogan is made of, and also, by inviting him to this event, it gives them an opportunity to reach out and touch him, to shake hands and to hear what he has to say firsthand."

Politics Podcast: Iowa And New Hampshire Can Go To Hell

Every four years, a select few states — particularly Iowa and New Hampshire — play an outsized role in determining who voters get to choose between for president. Those states’ demographics are out of line with the makeup of the Democratic electorate. In this episode, elections analyst Geoffrey Skelley joins the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast to discuss what other lineupsWell, to the back of the primary calendar. might look like. You can listen to the episode by clicking the “play” button in the audio player above or by downloading it in iTunes, the ESPN app or your favorite podcast platform. If you are new to podcasts, learn how to listen. The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast publishes Monday evenings, with additional episodes throughout the week. Help new listeners discover the show by leaving us a rating and review on iTunes. Have a comment, question or suggestion for “good polling vs. bad polling”? Get in touch by email, on Twitter or in the comments.

What Kirsten Gillibrand Is Missing: New York Endorsements for 2020

Elizabeth Frantz for The New York Times WASHINGTON — Senator Cory Booker has been endorsed for president by New Jersey’s entire 11-member Democratic congressional delegation, his state’s governor and its other senator. Senator Kamala Harris has support from three-quarters of the Democrats in the California State Senate, the governor and a handful of House members from her state. Even John Delaney, the former Maryland congressman running a long-shot bid for president, has the support of a House member from his home state. But Senator Kirsten Gillibrand? No one from New York’s 21-member congressional delegation is yet backing her bid for president. And neither is New York’s governor, Andrew M. Cuomo, or its other senator, Chuck Schumer, who as minority leader is staying neutral because numerous senators are in the race. And that’s the most honest thing I can tell you.” [Check out the Democratic field with our candidate tracker.] In interviews with two-thirds of New York’s Democratic congressional delegation, lawmakers this week offered a variety of rationales and dodges for why none of them has lined up behind their colleague. [Make sense of the people, issues and ideas shaping American politics with our newsletter.] “I haven’t made a decision about endorsements yet simply out of respect for all the other folks who have reached out to me,” said Representative Yvette Clarke of Brooklyn, a member of the Congressional Black Caucus, who spent time with Ms. Gillibrand over the weekend.

What exactly is Bill Weld up to? Here’s what we know so far.

Bill Weld is back. Brett, a former Massachusetts state representative who has stayed in touch with Weld since their time together at the State House in the 1990s, says he reached out to the 73-year-old former Republican governor to see if there was any interest in speaking at Politics & Eggs. Despite running in a disproportionately Democratic state in a presidential election year, the Weld-Kerry race was neck-and-neck through the summer, before the incumbent senator won with 52.7 percent to 41.2 percent of the vote. After switching his residency back once more to Massachusetts, the former Republican governor was picked to be the 2016 vice presidential running mate of Libertarian presidential nominee Gary Johnson. “We are planning a partnership as president and vice president; I think it’s something unprecedented,” Johnson, who referred to himself as the “lesser half” of the ticket, said at the time. During the campaign, Weld had responded to Libertarian Party members who were skeptical of his Republican record by pledging to remain “Libertarian for life.” And the former governor was so active in the run-up to the 2018 midterm elections — touring Libertarian conventions, talking about how the party could grow, fundraising for the party, and endorsing its local candidates — that he stirred speculation that he was setting the groundwork for a 2020 presidential campaign on the Libertarian ticket. And later last month, several outlets reported that he was considering running against President Donald Trump in the 2020 GOP primary. “I’m not going to have anything to say until my talk at Politics and Eggs,” he told WMUR. Then and now, Weld has hardly been the only anti-Trump Republican. While acknowledging the difficulties of running a primary campaign against a Republican president, Brett says he feels pretty sure that Weld will announce plans for a White House bid Friday.