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Political Roundup: Pundits predict the year ahead in NZ politics

Will New Zealand politics in 2019 be characterised by policy substance or issues of leadership, personalities and political manoeuvrings? Every year the political journalists at Stuff put together a long list of predictions for the year. This year's list has the usual mix of policy and people-focused forecasts – see: 2019 Political predictions: Big calls for the year ahead. They include a rebrand for the Act Party (to become the "Freedom Party"); deputy Labour Party leader Kelvin Davis to be replaced, another government minister will go, and any proposed new capital gains tax will fail to get enough parliamentary support. On the left, David Cormack presents more of a wishlist than forecast, particularly on issues like climate change: "let's just do something. Some of the more interesting forecasts are: Phil Goff to win the Auckland mayoralty again, Simon Bridges to remain as National leader, National will continue to have no political party allies, and the New Conservative Party wins a bigger profile but doesn't actually take off. It sounds like you have Winston whispering in your ear; Bullies; KiwiBuild scandals; Brexit updates; The Prime Minister missing question time." The Spinoff surveyed fifteen political pundits on what the three biggest issues of the political year would be – see: 2019 in politics: What will the big issues be?. It's tax reform that many are pointing to as the big issue of 2019, and Peter Williams has an excellent discussion on this in his column, Tax set to become major political issue. Even if Peters does agree to all the proposed changes, which is very unlikely, Labour will have to take its new tax platform to the electorate in 2020.

Charisma Rules Politics as Never Before

I have a theory. When people lose faith in institutions (political parties, organized religion, etc.) Specifically, two kinds of people: themselves and charismatic celebrities. Which brings me to that other category of people: charismatic celebrities. In contemporary America, and perhaps throughout history everywhere, the hallmark of a charismatic leader is the ability to form a personal relationship with his or her followers. People invest their faith in the leader, not in the formal institutions or organizations that traditionally serve as gatekeepers or validators of ideas or programs. Today, political leaders — along with celebrity “influencers” from all manner of vocations — have discovered that the key to success isn’t in a particular platform or institution, but in having a personal following. Political parties are late arrivals to this trend. The key to his success: He was a charismatic leader who ostentatiously ran as a kind of secular redeemer. the next messiah.” Similarly, in 2016, the Republican-party establishment was simply too weak to compete with the power of Donald Trump’s personal relationship with a plurality of voters (and now, it seems, with much of the party’s rank and file).
Michael Avenatti | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

Michael Avenatti | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

Subscribe to the Real Time YouTube: http://itsh.bo/10r5A1B Attorney Michael Avenatti joins Bill to discuss his lawsuit on behalf of Stormy Daniels regarding an alleged 2006 & 2007 affair with Donald Trump. Connect with Real Time Online: Find Real Time on…
Michael Avenatti | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

Michael Avenatti | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

Subscribe to the Real Time YouTube: http://itsh.bo/10r5A1B Attorney Michael Avenatti joins Bill to discuss his lawsuit on behalf of Stormy Daniels regarding an alleged 2006 & 2007 affair with Donald Trump. Connect with Real Time Online: Find Real Time on…
Monologue: Apprentice: White House Edition | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

Monologue: Apprentice: White House Edition | Real Time with Bill Maher (HBO)

Subscribe to the Real Time YouTube: http://itsh.bo/10r5A1B Bill recaps the top stories of the week, including Donald Trump's new lawyer, Donald Trump's old lawyer, and Starbucks in hot water. Connect with Real Time Online: Find Real Time on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Maher…
Watch Overtime: April 20, 2018 (HBO)

Watch Overtime: April 20, 2018 (HBO)

Bill and his roundtable guests - Michael Avenatti, Jordan Peterson, Frank Bruni, Gov. Jay Inslee and Alex Wagner - will answer viewer questions after Friday's show. ***If stream fails to load, please refresh your browser.***