Most Tory members would choose no deal over May’s Brexit plan

Theresa May

More than half of Conservative party members want Theresa May’s Brexit deal to be rejected in favour of leaving the EU with no deal, according to a survey.

The poll, funded by the Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC), found a majority of the Tory rank and file are convinced that leaving the EU without a deal is better than the prime minister’s Brexit plan.

If there was a three-choice referendum with the following options, how would you vote?Standfirst …unknown title01020304050Leave the EU without a deal 57%Leave the EU with the proposed deal 23Remain a member of the EU 15Guardian Graphic | Source: ESRC. Sample size: 1,215 Conservative party members

In a three-way referendum, with the options of leaving without a deal, staying in the EU or leaving with May’s deal, 57% preferred leaving without a deal. Only 23% of members said they would vote for May’s deal in a three-way referendum.

The findings were released on Friday by the ESRC-funded party members project, run from Queen Mary University of London and Sussex University.

Just 29% of Tory members would vote for May’s deal, compared with 64% who would vote to leave without a deal, if there was a two-option referendum.

If there was a two-choice referendum with the following options, how would you vote?Standfirst …unknown title0102030405060Leave the EU without a deal 64%Leave the EU with the proposed deal 29%Guardian Graphic | Source: ESRC. Sample size: 1,215 Conservative party members

Among party members, opposition to the deal negotiated by their own leader outweighs support by a margin of 59% to 38%.

More members (53%) think May’s deal does not respect the 2016 EU referendum result than the 42% who think it does.

From what you have seen or heard about the deal so far, do you support or oppose the draft Brexit deal?Standfirst …unknown title01020304050Total opposed 59%Total support 38Guardian Graphic | Source: ESRC. Sample size: 1,215 Conservative party members

The findings are a further blow to May, who hopes to win a majority in parliament for her EU deal, which is expected to be put to the vote later in January. In November, she appealed…

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