Here’s how millennials could change politics

Demonstrators participate in a #MeToo march last November in Los Angeles. (David McNew/Getty Images)

Millennials are on the cusp of surpassing Baby Boomers as the nation’s largest living adult generation, according to population projections from the U.S. Census Bureau. As of July 1, 2016 (the latest date for which population estimates are available), Millennials, whom we define as ages 20 to 35 in 2016, numbered 71 million, and Boomers (ages 52 to 70) numbered 74 million. Millennials are expected to overtake Boomers in population in 2019 as their numbers swell to 73 million and Boomers decline to 72 million. Generation X (ages 36 to 51 in 2016) is projected to pass the Boomers in population by 2028.

The reign of the baby boomers — who will leave their children and grandchildren with massive debt, who were critical to President Trump’s rise (he lost younger voters but won strongly among the 45-to-64 and 65-and-older age brackets) and who keep Fox News afloat (the median age for its viewers is 66) — is diminishing. (“They peaked at 78.8 million in 1999 and have remained the largest living adult generation. There were an estimated 74.1 million Boomers in 2016. By midcentury, the Boomer population is projected to dwindle to 16.6 million.”)

Millennials take plenty of flak, but they are more diverse, read more books than their baby boomer parents and do not pine for the pre-globalized economy. As a generation, they are strongly anti-Trump and don’t seem to be getting more conservative with time, as their parents did. Pew’s survey found:

Just 27% of Millennials approve of Trump’s job performance, while 65% disapprove. … But even taking the greater diversity of younger generations into account, younger generations – particularly Millennials – express more liberal views on many issues and have stronger Democratic leanings than do older cohorts. …

Millennial voters have generally favored Democrats in midterms, and that trend continues. But, comparing early preferences this year with surveys conducted in previous midterm years, Millennial registered voters support the Democrat by a wider margin than in the past.

The GOP is not popular with this generation of voters. “More than four-in-ten Millennial registered voters (44%) describe themselves as independents, compared…

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.